
Based in Washington DC, Andrew Blasi Jr. serves as director of Crowell and Moring International and provides consulting solutions in international trade. Among Andrew Blasi Jr.’s areas of extensive knowledge are trade relations between the United States and China.
With the recently adopted national security law in Hong Kong impacting the implementation and next steps of the multi-phase US-China trade agreement, and global economic shifts due to COVID-19, a reevaluation of just-in-time supply chains is taking place. Efficiency was previously the defining factor, but now a more nationalist perspective on supply chains is taking hold.
To-date, trade negotiations may not have had their intended effect, at least not from the viewpoint of the US. Tariffs have not addressed disparities in the US-China trade balance. Indeed, the trade surplus enjoyed by China has increased with the US as its export markets become more diversified. In particular, it has been expanding rapidly in markets such as the ASEAN nations of Southeast Asia.
In the short term, shifts in the US-China supply chain is benefiting countries such as Viet Nam and Taiwan, which may produce similar products without the burden of extra tariffs. Manufacturers are seeking trade diversion strategies that avoid tariffs, such as changing suppliers and transshipment. Permanent changes in the US-China trade relationship will require complex planning and may entail significant costs.






